There were a lot of predictions from pundits in the lead up to the 2016 Election, many of which predicted a Hillary Clinton victory. We now know that Donald Trump earned the victory with key wins in a handful of surprise swing states. With this still settling in for some, we took a hard look at the data behind his victory and what drove his...
This year, the Red Oak Strategic team decided to undertake a new challenge in the world of polling and analytics : conduct a bi-weekly, public, national survey that we would execute and release using the Google Surveys platform. Beginning in August and continuing through the final week of the 2016 election, our partnership with GCS led to the...
Political polling faces a crisis of confidence. Major news outlets repeatedly ask “What’s the matter with polling?” after major misses like the Bernie Sanders’s primary upset in Michigan, where he beat Hillary Clinton 50–48 despite the fact that she was leading by up to 20 points in reputable polls. There is, however, hope for a polling...
Last Saturday, in what has now been widely publicized and discussed, Uber and Lyft lost an effort, Proposition 1, that would have rolled back a number of regulations on their services. As a result, in one of America’s most forward-thinking tech centers, the services stopped operating almost immediately.
Lots of discussion and criticism came out of this past Tuesday’s election results, much of it focusing on the Kentucky Governor’s race and the lack of reliable polling measures, which lead to a somewhat surprising election night result for many pundits. One particular story, written here by @ForecasterEnten, made very valid points about the...